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A rapidly changing world |
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Sustainable
futures |
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Implications
for education |
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Impossibility
of knowing future |
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Even
experts cannot predict |
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The
end of determinism |
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Choosing
our future |
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Setting
the sails |
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Few cars,
mainly public transport |
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Long
distance travel rare |
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No
TV or video,
CD players, even stereo or
hi - fi sound reproduction |
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Ice boxes,
manual telephones |
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Clothes,
shoes, cooking, shopping... |
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From
first computers to
the lap-top ! |
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Continuing
rapid technological change |
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Continuing
trend of globalisation |
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Trade
increasingly in information, other services and value-added goods |
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Social
impacts of change |
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Greater
social and political diversity |
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Worsening
ecological problems |
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Globalisation - removal of
barriers |
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World
car to world
chicken |
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Changing
balance of world
trade |
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ETMs,
information, services |
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Declining
importance of commodities |
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The
post-industrial economy |
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The
future of work ? |
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Innovation
as key economic factor |
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Speed
of change -> social
impacts |
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Management
of tech. change vital |
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Education
as key to
innovation and economic success |
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Also
key to community choices |
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Since 1980, economic growth up in
15 nations, stagnant or down in
100 |
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70
countries had lower
per capita incomes in
1995 than in
1980 |
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Richest
20% from 70 to
80% income, poorest 20%
from 2.3% to
1.4% |
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Increasing
inequity between nations
and between generations |
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Maintain options for future generations |
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Therefore
don’t deplete resources |
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Don’ t
damage natural environment |
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Don’t
undermine social stability |
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Value
judgements in all
criteria |
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Coal
- for > 1000 years |
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Gas
- for ~
100 years |
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Oil
- peak ~
10 years |
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Solar
~ 10,000 x
energy use |
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High
metabolic flows |
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Pressures
of population growth |
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Car - based
transport systems |
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Good news:
recycling, cleaner production, energy & water
management |
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Bad news:
loss of habitat, loss of useful
land, waste volumes, air quality, heritage |
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Population 2.8m 3.7m |
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Energy / head 90 GJ 115 GJ |
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Food / head 0.5 t 1.0 t
* |
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Water / head 144 t 180 t |
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Solid waste / head 0.6 t 0.8 t |
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Sewage / head [?] 110 t 130 t |
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Carbon dioxide / head 7 t 9 t |
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Loss
of habitat: bushland, wetlands, mangroves and littoral zone |
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Loss
of productive land
to expansion |
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Waste
volumes increasing: solid
wastes, toxics, sewage |
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Perceived
decline in air
quality |
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Loss
of heritage |
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“ecosystem
threatened by grave
imbalances … increasing
divergence… unsustainable
progression of extremes of wealth and
poverty” |
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“accelerating
change…environmental
stewardship lagging behind
economic and social
development” |
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Kyoto
Protocol insufficient |
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Disruption
of nitrogen cycle |
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400 mt/yr
hazardous waste |
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More
severe natural disasters |
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Biodiversity
loss [habitat, exotics] |
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20%
no safe drinking water, 50% no
safe sanitation |
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“moving
in the right
direction but much
too slowly…gains by
better management and
technology are still
being outpaced by
the environmental impacts
associated with the
speed and scale
of population and
economic growth” |
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Humane |
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Ecocentric
Approach |
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Long Time Horizon |
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Innovative |
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Efficient |
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Resourced |
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1800 :
World without slavery |
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1900:
Universal adult franchise |
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1980:
Berlin without The
Wall |
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South Africa without apartheid |
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PCs, mobile phones |
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good coffee and civilised licensing
laws in Brisbane ! |
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Practically
all features of
modern life ! |
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Prepare
for world of
rapid change |
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Irresponsible
to imply stability |
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Invest
in economic future |
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Capacity
to understand social impacts |
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Ability
to assess complex
ecosystems |
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Equip all
to shape future |
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Inclusivity: social, cultural, gender |
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End
reliance on origins |
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Recognise
geographic position |
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Knowledge
in other languages, alphabets |
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First
stage of life-long learning |
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For
life as well
as for work |
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Globally
portable education |
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Globalisation |
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Fewer
barriers, integrated economy |
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Hence
educated people need
to work across
cultural and social
frameworks |
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Globality |
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Shared
ecological destiny |
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Hence
need for global
citizens |
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Develop
capacity for life - long learning |
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Process
more important than
content |
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From
Moses to co-operative learning |
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Problems
cross traditional disciplines |
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Old
content-based
curriculum: education for
a past world
of stability, not
an appropriate preparation for tomorrow |
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Problem - based
studies |
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No
unique right answers |
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Multi - disciplinary approach |
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Range
of cultural perspectives |
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Emphasise
learning, not teaching |
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New
range of learning resources |
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New
styles of learning |
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“enhance behavioural dispositions such as co-operativeness, curiosity, initiative,
responsibility and
independence as well
as intellectual skills related
to creativity, autonomous thinking and efficient problem - solving” |
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Set
basis for learning |
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Use
broad problems |
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See
content as subsidiary |
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Introduce
complexity |
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Stress
uncertainty |
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Emphasise
sustainability |
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Develop
responsibility |
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World of rapid
change |
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Complex
world, poorly understood |
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Creating
our future |
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Sustainable
world very different |
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Education
to cope, shape
change |
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New
emphasis on process
of inquiry |
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Challenge,
responsibility |
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